Before we get into the Tempe Real Estate Market Report for May 2021, I have a commentary written by Tina Tamboer. Tina is the Senior Housing Analyst with the Cromford report. She was nice enough to let us use her summary of the Greater Phoenix Metro area as a backdrop for what is happening in Tempe this month. Here is her commentary…..
?️ The Greater Phoenix Metro Summary Analysis Real Estate Market Report
62.8% of Homes Sold Considered Affordable Last Quarter
Median Sales Price Up 27%, Incomes Up 26%
? For Buyers:
Despite all the incredible news about rising real estate prices, a family making the median income of $79,000 in Greater Phoenix could still afford 62.8% of what sold in the first quarter of 2021. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB.org) assumes that “a family can afford to spend 28% of its gross income on housing.” That means 62.8% of homes sold cost their new owners $1,843 per month or less assuming a 10% down payment and including principal, interest, taxes and insurance. According to HUD, $79,000 represents a 26% increase in the local median annual income over the past 5 years; up $16,500 from $62,500 in 2016.
While reassuring, it doesn’t remove the frustrations of competing for homes in this marketplace. Last month, 56% of all sales closed over asking price and half of them went $15,000 over or more to win. For the last 7 weeks, half of all listings that went under contract in the MLS were active for just 6 days or less.
However, the last few months have shown a glimmer of relief for buyers as supply counts actually stopped declining; and in price ranges between $500K-$800K they have noticeably increased 40% since February. Supply is still 69% lower than last year at this time so there’s a long way to go before it’s considered normal, but it’s something.
? For Sellers:
You’re not going to notice this, but the housing market has begun to cool down. It’s still hot however, like 400 degrees is still hot despite being cooler than 500 degrees. Sellers can still expect multiple offers and closings over asking price; however it’s important to note that supply has stopped dropping and has been rising in certain price points over $500K. Seasonally speaking, Greater Phoenix supply should be dropping at this time of year, not going flat or rising. When measures go against the season, it can be the beginning of a shift.
The reason this shift will not be noticed is because supply is still much lower than demand, so any slight increase in competition is inconsequential to a seller’s ability to secure a buyer, even one willing to pay over asking price. One of the early indicators that a market is shifting, however, is the number of list price reductions. For example, supply between $600K-$800K has risen 45% since late February; in the same time frame, the number of weekly price reductions increased 223% and hit the highest count taken in nearly 6 months. That’s notable. However in other price points where supply has flattened out, price reductions have remained low and stable.
Why good idea to use a Realtor
The advantage in any market, not just housing, is being one of the first to know when things are shifting. Especially today, it’s a good idea to consult a Realtor® who can analyze your price point and area so you can make an informed decision regarding the sale of your home.
Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Housing Analyst with The Cromford Report
©2020 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC
Below you will find the statistical breakdown and more for the Tempe area Real Estate Market Report April 2021.
View All Current & Past Phoenix & East Valley Real Estate Market Reports
? Below is a snapshot of Tempe’s Real Estate Market Statistics for April 2021
?️ What are the Average Temperatures in Phoenix?
| Month | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 43.4°F | 65.0°F |
| Feb | 47.0°F | 69.4°F |
| Mar | 51.1°F | 74.3°F |
| Apr | 57.5°F | 83.0°F |
| May | 66.3°F | 91.9°F |
| Jun | 75.2°F | 102.0°F |
| Jul | 81.4°F | 104.2°F |
| Aug | 80.4°F | 102.4°F |
| Sept | 74.5°F | 97.4°F |
| Oct | 62.9°F | 86.4°F |
| Nov | 50.0°F | 73.3°F |
| Dec | 43.5°F | 65.0°F |
Phoenix’s coldest month is January when the average temperature overnight is 43.4°F. In July, the warmest month, the average day time temperature rises to 104.2°F. If you would like to see specific homes as they come on the market, click here to get email updates.
? A look at Tempe’s current Sales Price. Real Estate Market Report for May 2021
Tempe’s Median Sales Price in April was $389,450 up from last months $367,500 and the prior months $355,000, $350,000 and $344,750. In the past, Inventory levels here were one of the few areas where the number of homes on the market is higher than most other metro Phoenix areas and the prices remained fairly stable. Recently they have performed consistent with the rest of the valley Tempe has always been one of those unique markets since it has ASU in it. So we will see what happens next. Based on the last 5 months, it is not bucking the trend.
If you are in the process of Buying or Selling a Home, Click on the highlighted link to see a number of interesting articles.
❓ What does this mean if you are a Buyer or a Seller?
Real Estate Market Report
As the chart above shows, Inventory levels for April was .48 months of inventory up from last months .37. So, with inventory, being this low, buyers should expect multiple offers( See Tina’s comments above). Submit your offer with as few contingencies as possible. Also, make sure you know what the market price is…since you may have to go over that to get the property.
Sellers should be prepared for multiple bids on their homes. We are seeing this low inventory creating a bidding war where buyers end up bidding above the sales price to get the house. Know your actual home’s market value, since you may have to look at offers over list price. Remember, if the appraisal comes in under the purchase price, it could complicate the deal. Look for offers with appraisal waivers/ contingencies.
If you would like to see specific homes as they come on the market, click here to get email updates.
?️ What is the annual rainfall in Phoenix?
| Month | Precipitation |
|---|---|
| Jan | 0.83in. |
| Feb | 0.77in. |
| Mar | 1.07in. |
| Apr | 0.25in. |
| May | 0.16in. |
| Jun | 0.09in. |
| Jul | 0.99in. |
| Aug | 0.94in. |
| Sept | 0.75in. |
| Oct | 0.79in. |
| Nov | 0.73in. |
| Dec | 0.92in. |
The driest month in Phoenix is June with 0.09 inches of precipitation, and with 1.07 inches March is the wettest month.
?️ Homes For Sale in Tempe AZ
Below are Homes that have come on the market in the last 7 Days around the Median price range. Also below the pictures, you will see a Chart of all the Tempe homes by price and Type: Below are all the homes available in the city of Tempe by Dollar amount and type:
? Below you will see the links for the other cities in the East Valley:
View All Current & Past Phoenix & East Valley Real Estate Market Reports
Contact the Shirley Coomer Group at Keller Williams Realty Sonoran Living
Call or Text: 602-770-0643 for more Real Estate Information.
